Obama, McCain and Prediction markets

Tuesday, November 4. 2008

Obama, McCain and Prediction markets

Just looking at where the prediction markets are on the Election Evening:

Intrade - Obama 375 McCain 163

Hubdub - Obama 364 / McCain 174

Betfair - well, they don't do politics but reckon that the Democrats are in the 300 - 350 seats at 2.7:1 - but Man U is looking good

We shall see.... my observation is that social and digital media is skewed Democrat, as are exit polls apparently.

Update - 24 hours later and Mr Obama is in - our congratulation - and the win is 334 / 164 right now (we assume there are a few late results to come in).

Posted by Alan Patrick in Business Models at 23:54 | Comments (0) | Trackbacks (0)

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